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| Weekly Market View: Nifty 50 & Bank Nifty Analysis, Key Levels & Option Selling Strategy (22–26 Dec 2025) |
Weekly Market View: Nifty 50 & Bank Nifty Analysis, Key Levels & Option Selling Strategy (22–26 Dec 2025)
पढ़ें अगले हफ्ते (22–26 Dec) का Nifty 50 और Bank Nifty का विश्लेषण, पिछले 10 सालों का historical data, key levels, option selling strategy और market outlook।
1️⃣ Basic Details
Week No: 51 (2025)
Date Range: 15 – 19 Dec 2025
Index Covered: Nifty 50 / Bank Nifty
Data Source: NSE (Historical & Current) (nseindia.com)
2️⃣ Last Week Market Review
🔹 Nifty 50
Opening Level: ~25,800*
Closing Level: ~25,966.40
Weekly Movement: Sideways to Slightly Up
Weekly Trend: Neutral / Consolidation
🔹 Bank Nifty
Opening Level: ~58,900*
Closing Level: ~59,069*
Weekly Movement: Sideways
Weekly Trend: Neutral
🔹 मुख्य टिप्पणियाँ (Key Observations)
- Nifty ने चार दिनों की गिरावट के बाद सप्ताह के अंत में मजबूती दिखाई।
- 25,700–26,000 के आसपास का स्तर संकेत देता है कि हाल की रैली के बाद बाज़ार स्थिर है।
- रुपया सप्ताह के अंत में मजबूत हुआ, जो विदेशी मुद्रा (FX) भावना में बदलाव का संकेत देता है।
3️⃣ Historical Performance (Same Week – Last 10 Years)
🔹 Nifty 50 – Historical Behavior (Past 10 Years)
Positive Years: ~6 / 10
Negative Years: ~4 / 10
Dominant Nature: Mild Bullish / Sideways Bias
🔹 Bank Nifty – Historical Behavior (Indicative Summary)
Positive Years: ~5 / 10
Negative Years: ~5 / 10
Volatility Nature: Medium / High
4️⃣ Week Behavior Summary
Seasonal Effect: No
Expiry Impact: Yes (weekly F&O expiry influences near‑term swings)
Month‑End / Year‑End Effect: Yes — Portfolios often rebalanced at year-end.
5️⃣ Next Week Market Outlook
🔮 Market Bias: Sideways to Bullish Breakout Watch
🔹 Nifty 50 Key Levels
Support Zone: 25,700–25,800
Resistance Zone: 26,000–26,100
🔹 Bank Nifty Key Levels
Support Zone: 58,800–58,900
Resistance Zone: 59,400–59,600
6️⃣ Derivative & Volatility View
Put Writing: Moderate (near current support clusters)
Call Writing: Around 26,000–26,200 strikes
PCR View: Slightly elevated (neutral to protective bias)
India VIX Trend: Stable to Cooling (~9.5)
7️⃣ Strategy View (Educational)
Preferred Strategy:
- Option Selling in Range (Iron Condors / Short Strangles)
- Swing Trades on Breakouts
Risk Level: Medium
Suitable For: Option Seller / Trader (Range) / Tactical Investor
8️⃣ Risk Factors to Watch
- FII flows — विदेशी निवेशकों का दबाव सूचकांकों पर असर डाल सकता है।
- US macro cues (Fed / Dollar strength) वैश्विक भावना को प्रभावित कर सकते हैं।
- रुपया में उतार-चढ़ाव।
- कंपनी के परिणामों में आश्चर्यजनक बदलाव (सकारात्मक या नकारात्मक)।
9️⃣ Weekly Conclusion
Nesta week showed consolidation with lack of decisive trend but technical relief bounce late week. Next week’s price structure is key — a break above 26,100 in Nifty could signal renewed upside, while a failure may extend the range. Watch volatility metrics and global cues for directional confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer (Fixed)
यह विश्लेषण केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्य के लिए है। निवेश से पहले अपने वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श करें।
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